Asia stock-picking hedge funds set for record monthly loss, Goldman says

Asia-focused equity hedge funds are heading for their biggest monthly drawdown on record, a Goldman Sachs note showed, ​as a broad AI stock rout wiped out much of the ‌gains from crowded bets in the sector.

Asia-focused fundamental long-short funds have fallen 18.6% on average this month through July 28, Goldman Sachs said in a prime brokerage ​note sent to clients this week.

These funds were among the world's ​top performers in the first half of the year by ⁠betting early on AI hardware leaders including South Korean chipmakers SK Hynix (000660.KS), opens new tab ​and Samsung Electronics (005930.KS), opens new tab. Some pocketed gains of more than 100%.

Now there is a ​sharp reversal, giving back 21 percentage points of their year-to-date gains since peaking at 40% on July 22, Goldman said. Crowded AI bets that fueled first-half gains are now "driving ​outsized month-to-date drawdown," Goldman Sachs said, adding those funds with higher exposure ​to AI themes have suffered steeper losses.

Asian semiconductor stocks tumbled this week, with South ‌Korea ⁠leading the regional selloff, as investors increasingly questioned the returns on massive AI spending and leveraged positions unwind.

South Korea's benchmark Kospi tumbled nearly 11% on Tuesday in their worst session in about five months. Hedge funds rushed to ​take profits and ​lower risks amid ⁠market turmoil. Asian hedge funds have reduced exposure for eight straight trading days as of July 27, with "five-day ​cumulative de-grossing" the largest on record, according to Goldman ​Sachs.

Selling has ⁠been focused on Taiwan, Korea, Japan and China recently, the bank said. "In market cap terms, this is the biggest unwind we’ve ever seen," said Vikas ⁠Pershad, a ​portfolio manager for Asian equities at M&G ​Investments.

Significant trading volumes amplified the move on the way up and have accelerated the decline ​on the way down, he said.

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